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In a presidential race few things are certain. One of which is a candidate winning his home state. Aside from some unlucky contenders (cough, Al Gore, cough) this remains almost a given. But Arizona State University released a poll yesterday showing the race in Arizona, Sen. John McCain’s home state, will be tight.
“Supporters of both candidates are highly committed to their candidates, with 94% of Obama’s supporters and 93% of McCain’s supporters indicating that they are firmly committed and won’t change their mind before Election Day,” said poll director, Bruce Merrill, in a press release. But, since, according to Merrill, the number of undecided voters in the state is low, McCain’s narrow lead may mean victory.
The Arizona Republic, the state newspaper that endorsed McCain said both “campaigns operate offices in Arizona, but their focus has been split between Arizona and the crucial neighboring swing state of New Mexico.”
A recent Rasmussen Reports poll has McCain with 51% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Northern Arizona University has McCain up 49% to 41%. The Project New West poll has McCain leading by 4 points. McCain’s victory likely won’t resemble the decisive win President George W. Bush garnered in 2004 when he won by 11 percentage points. Bush also won the Arizona popular in 2000 by six percentage points.
Renita Burns is the editorial assistant at BlackEnterprise.com